MX23RW : Friday, June 21 20:08:00| >> :60:898:898:
Poland national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2024 at 2pm UK
Volksparkstadion
Netherlands national football team

Poland
1 - 2
Netherlands

Buksa (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gakpo (29'), Weghorst (83')
Veerman (15')

The Match

Match Report

Wout Weghorst scores a late winner as Netherlands record a 2-1 win over Poland at the Volksparkstadion at Euro 2024.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro 2024 clash between Poland and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Poland could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 clash with the Netherlands.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Poland 2-1 Turkey
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Iceland
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Poland had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawNetherlands
27.34% (-0.113 -0.11) 24.97% (0.084999999999997 0.08) 47.68% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.441 -0.44)48.85% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (-0.402 -0.4)70.94% (0.396 0.4)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (-0.318 -0.32)32.07% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (-0.361 -0.36)68.54% (0.355 0.36)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.17 -0.17)20.52% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (-0.267 -0.27)53.02% (0.26 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Poland 27.34%
    Netherlands 47.68%
    Draw 24.96%
PolandDrawNetherlands
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.069 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 27.34%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 10.42% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.25% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.36% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.68%

How you voted: Poland vs Netherlands

Poland
18.2%
Draw
11.4%
Netherlands
70.4%
604
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League A
Netherlands
2-2
Poland
Klaassen (51'), Dumfries (54')
Berghuis (59'), Bergwijn (63'), de Jong (86')
Cash (18'), Zielinski (49')
Krychowiak (16'), Bednarek (20'), Skorupski (63'), Zielinski (83'), Zurkowski (86')
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jozwiak (6')
Krychowiak (14'), Bednarek (77'), Jozwiak (82')
Depay (77' pen.), Wijnaldum (84')
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Netherlands
1-0
Poland
Bergwijn (61')
de Roon (71'), Depay (74'), de Jong (89')

Piatek (21'), Klich (33'), Jozwiak (56'), Glik (63'), Bednarek (90+1')
Jun 1, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Janssen (33'), Wijnaldum (76')
Wijnaldum (63')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 France France11003
2 Austria Austria21013
3 Netherlands Netherlands11003
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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