MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 14:05:18| >> :60:239:239:
Moldova national football team
Friendlies 2
Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadionul CPTF
Cyprus national football team

Moldova
3 - 2
Cyprus

Motpan (43'), Stina (71'), Bogaciuc (78')
Craciun (45+2'), Stina (69'), Damascan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Spoljaric (50'), Pittas (54')
Loizou (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Moldova and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Cayman Islands 0-4 Moldova
Tuesday, March 26 at 2pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Cyprus 0-1 Serbia
Monday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250

We said: Moldova 1-1 Cyprus

Cyprus will be looking to claim their first away win since 2022, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw when they face a nation that has seen three of their previous five matches finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 56.76%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moldova would win this match.

Result
MoldovaDrawCyprus
56.76% (-2.198 -2.2) 21.5% (0.188 0.19) 21.74% (2.012 2.01)
Both teams to score 59.44% (2.582 2.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.23% (1.918 1.92)38.77% (-1.914 -1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.92% (1.994 1.99)61.08% (-1.989 -1.99)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.47% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)13.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.4% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)40.6% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (3.016 3.02)31.26% (-3.012 -3.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (3.366 3.37)67.61% (-3.363 -3.36)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 56.76%
    Cyprus 21.74%
    Draw 21.5%
MoldovaDrawCyprus
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.815 -0.82)
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.801 -0.8)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.553 -0.55)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.263 0.26)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.281 -0.28)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.129 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 56.76%
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.402 0.4)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.394 -0.39)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.21 0.21)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 5.72% (0.41 0.41)
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.208 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.319 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.322 0.32)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 21.74%

How you voted: Moldova vs Cyprus

Moldova
53.6%
Draw
28.6%
Cyprus
17.9%
56
rhs 2.0
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