Friendlies 2

Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadionul CPTF

Moldova
3 - 2
Cyprus

Motpan (43'), Stina (71'), Bogaciuc (78')
Craciun (45+2'), Stina (69'), Damascan (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Spoljaric (50'), Pittas (54')
Loizou (45')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Moldova and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Cayman Islands 0-4 Moldova
Tuesday, March 26 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	8	8	15
2	Czech Republic	8	6	15
3	Poland	8	0	11
4	Moldova	8	-3	10
5	Faroe Islands	8	-11	2

Cyprus

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Cyprus 0-1 Serbia
Monday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	8	20	21
2	Scotland	8	9	17
3	Norway	8	2	11
4	Georgia	8	-6	8
5	Cyprus	8	-25	0

Cyprus will be looking to claim their first away win since 2022, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw when they face a nation that has seen three of their previous five matches finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 56.76%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moldova would win this match.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Cyprus
56.76% ( -2.2)	21.5% ( 0.19)	21.74% ( 2.01)

Both teams to score 59.44% (

2.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.23% (

1.92)

38.77% (

-1.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.92% (

1.99)

61.08% (

-1.99)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.47% (

-0.04)

13.53% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.4% (

-0.08)

40.6% (

0.08)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74% (

3.02)

31.26% (

-3.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39% (

3.37)

67.61% (

-3.36)

Score Analysis

Moldova 56.76%

Cyprus 21.74%

Draw 21.5%

Moldova	Draw	Cyprus
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.82) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.8) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.55) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.54% Total : 56.76%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.5%	1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.69% Total : 21.74%