Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
