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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 16
Nov 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
2 - 2
Warta Poznan

Pesqueira (45+5' pen.), Muci (63')
Wszolek (32'), Pankov (39'), Pesqueira (45+7'), Slisz (54'), Celhaka (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Prikryl (7'), Eppel (40' pen.)
Bartkowski (59'), Savic (78'), Lis (89'), Szymonowicz (90+7')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Warta Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 0-0 Lech Poznan
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Warta Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-2 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, November 10 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawWarta Poznan
60.01% (0.12 0.12) 22.39% (-0.117 -0.12) 17.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.43% (0.353 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (0.472 0.47)48.64% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (0.428 0.43)70.76% (-0.429 -0.43)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (0.20099999999999 0.2)15.8% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.04% (0.373 0.37)44.96% (-0.374 -0.37)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.71% (0.278 0.28)41.29% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (0.244 0.24)77.81% (-0.246 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 60%
    Warta Poznan 17.6%
    Draw 22.38%
Legia WarsawDrawWarta Poznan
1-0 @ 12.03% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 11.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 60%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 5.77% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.71% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.39% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.6%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan108112051525
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia107031716121
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow10622134920
4KS CracoviaCracovia106221813520
5Pogon SzczecinSzczecin105141613316
6Widzew Lodz104421311216
7Legia WarsawLegia104331711615
8Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice10433109115
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik103341313012
10Katowice103341213-112
11Motor Lublin10334812-412
12Zaglebie Lubin10325714-711
13Radomiak Radom93061416-29
14Lechia GdanskGdansk102351219-79
15Korona Kielce10235816-89
16Puszcza Niepolomice101541013-38
17Stal Mielec9225610-48
18Slask Wroclaw8044713-64
> Polish Ekstraklasa Full Table


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