Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Slavutych-Arena
Motor Lublin1 - 1Korona Kielce
Ceglarz (81' pen.)
Mraz (3'), Stolarski (59')
Mraz (3'), Stolarski (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dalmau (43')
Dziekonski (80'), Matuszewski (90+3')
Dziekonski (80'), Matuszewski (90+3')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Korona Kielce.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gdansk 0-2 Motor Lublin
Friday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-1 Legia
Sunday, July 28 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, July 28 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motor Lublin | Draw | Korona Kielce |
38.38% ( -0.73) | 27.33% ( -0.09) | 34.29% ( 0.81) |
Both teams to score 49.72% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.2% ( 0.46) | 55.8% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.07% ( 0.37) | 76.92% ( -0.38) |
Motor Lublin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( -0.2) | 28.22% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% ( -0.25) | 63.92% ( 0.24) |
Korona Kielce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% ( 0.77) | 30.72% ( -0.77) |