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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Fulham logo

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Fulham

Robinson (27' og.), McGinn (42'), Watkins (64')
Watkins (66'), Konsa (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jimenez (70')
Palhinha (52'), Robinson (64'), Iwobi (74'), Reed (90+6'), Vinicius (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa move onto 25 points from 12 Premier League matches this season courtesy of a 3-1 win over Fulham on Sunday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 AZ
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston VillaDrawFulham
63.36% (0.965 0.96) 19.87% (-0.151 -0.15) 16.77% (-0.818 -0.82)
Both teams to score 56.12% (-1.245 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (-0.799 -0.8)38.91% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.77% (-0.846 -0.85)61.22% (0.842 0.84)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (0.019999999999996 0.02)11.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.22% (0.047999999999995 0.05)36.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (-1.426 -1.43)36.44% (1.423 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76% (-1.468 -1.47)73.23% (1.464 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 63.36%
    Fulham 16.77%
    Draw 19.87%
Aston VillaDrawFulham
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.382 0.38)
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.347 0.35)
3-1 @ 7.09% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.28 0.28)
4-1 @ 3.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.77% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.63% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 63.36%
1-1 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 5% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.87%
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 16.77%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Fulham

Aston Villa
80.4%
Draw
15.5%
Fulham
4.1%
97
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 12am
Club Friendlies
Fulham
0-2
Aston Villa

De Fougerolles (30'), Vinicius (35')
Philogene-Bidace (40'), Diaby (73')
Konsa (35'), Philogene-Bidace (47')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Fulham
3-0
Aston Villa
Reed (36'), Mitrovic (68' pen.), Mings (83' og.)
Apr 4, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Aston Villa
3-1
Fulham
Trezeguet (78', 81'), Watkins (87')
Luiz (15')
Mitrovic (61')
Andersen (16'), Reid (74')
Sep 28, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
Fulham
0-3
Aston Villa

Reid (11'), Cairney (23'), Bryan (45+3'), Odoi (47'), Le Marchand (68'), Kamara (90+1')
Grealish (4'), Hourihane (15'), Mings (48')
Targett (11'), McGinn (59'), Mings (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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