Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.