Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.