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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Manchester City logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Man City

Duran (16'), Rogers (65')
Cash (37'), Martinez (45+2'), McGinn (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Foden (90+3')
Lewis (47'), Gvardiol (84'), Grealish (87')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester City's horror run of form continues as they suffer a 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, December 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
31.23% (0.837 0.84) 22.58% (0.192 0.19) 46.19% (-1.026 -1.03)
Both teams to score 65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.49% (-0.485 -0.48)35.51% (0.488 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.44% (-0.541 -0.54)57.56% (0.544 0.54)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (0.251 0.25)22.72% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (0.37 0.37)56.39% (-0.366 -0.37)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.11% (-0.55 -0.55)15.89% (0.554 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-1.026 -1.03)45.11% (1.03 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 31.23%
    Manchester City 46.19%
    Draw 22.58%
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 7.29% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 5.35% (0.168 0.17)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.23%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.71% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.55% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.89% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.19%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man City

Aston Villa
36.8%
Draw
26.1%
Manchester City
37.1%
383
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Man City
4-1
Aston Villa
Rodri (11'), Foden (45+1', 62', 69')
Grealish (32')
Duran (20')
Luiz (38'), Chambers (90+4')
Dec 6, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
1-0
Man City
Bailey (74')
Watkins (60'), Kamara (87')

Stones (45'), Lewis (53')
Feb 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Man City
3-1
Aston Villa
Rodri (4'), Gundogan (39'), Mahrez (45+1' pen.)
Watkins (61')
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aston Villa
1-1
Man City
Bailey (74')
Cash (26'), Digne (71')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 38
Man City
3-2
Aston Villa
Gundogan (76', 81'), Rodri (78')
Cash (37'), Coutinho (69')
Mings (49'), Nakamba (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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