Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 57.69%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 21.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (7.68%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.