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EFL Cup
Everton logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Burnley logo

Everton
3 - 0
Burnley

Tarkowski (13'), Onana (53'), Young (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al Dakhil (29'), Kompany (30'), Vitinho (58')

The Match

Match Report

Everton secure their spot in the quarter-finals of the EFL Cup courtesy of a 3-0 victory over fellow Premier League side Burnley at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Everton and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 0-1 Everton
Sunday, October 29 at 1pm in Premier League

Burnley

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
EvertonDrawBurnley
38.94% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.88% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 35.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.52% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.24% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)49.75% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (-0.052000000000003 -0.05)71.76% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)25.09% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)59.78% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)27.21% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)62.63% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Everton 38.94%
    Burnley 35.18%
    Draw 25.87%
EvertonDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.89% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.18%

How you voted: Everton vs Burnley

Everton
71.0%
Draw
22.0%
Burnley
7.0%
100
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Burnley
3-2
Everton
Collins (12'), Rodriguez (57'), Cornet (85')
Brownhill (10'), Lowton (76')
Richarlison (18' pen., 41')
Holgate (3'), Godfrey (54')
> Preview
Sep 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Everton
3-1
Burnley
Keane (60'), Townsend (65'), Gray (66')
Townsend (53')
Mee (53')
Brownhill (47')
> Match Report
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Everton
1-2
Burnley
Calvert-Lewin (32')
Wood (13'), McNeil (24')
Westwood (38'), Lowton (45+2'), Tarkowski (76'), Pope (85')
> Match Report
Dec 5, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Burnley
1-1
Everton
Brady (3')
Calvert-Lewin (45+3')
> Match Report
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Everton
1-0
Burnley
> Match Report
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