Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
0 - 1
Newcastle

James (57'), Dallas (67'), Llorente (74'), Rodrigo (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Shelvey (75')
Saint-Maximin (57'), Dummett (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Newcastle United

In spite of their disappointing bottom-half standing, Leeds have been a tough nut to crack at Elland Road in recent weeks and need no second invitation to attack this leaky Magpies defence. It is just one frustration after another for Newcastle at this point, who will not roll over and accept defeat on Saturday, but a first away win of the season should continue to elude the Magpies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 16.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Newcastle United
61.41%	21.7%	16.89%

Both teams to score 50.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.1%

46.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.85%

69.15%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.24%

14.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57%

43%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.88%

41.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.34%

77.66%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 61.4%

Newcastle United 16.89%

Draw 21.7%

Leeds United	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.61% 2-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 6.3% 4-0 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.45% Total : 61.4%	1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.7%	0-1 @ 5.39% 1-2 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.89%