Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Newcastle United |
52.49% | 23.76% | 23.75% |
Both teams to score 54.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.36% | 46.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.09% | 68.91% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.26% | 17.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.58% | 48.42% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.16% | 33.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.49% | 70.51% |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.49% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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