Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Nov 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
0 - 1
Man Utd

Robinson (31'), Palhinha (66'), Iwobi (82'), Wilson (85'), Jimenez (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fernandes (90+1')
Garnacho (67'), Dalot (88')

Bruno Fernandes: 'We showed belief and fight against Fulham'

Manchester United captain Bruno Fernandes says that his side showed their 'belief and fight' in Saturday's 1-0 win over Fulham.

Nov 4, 15:58

Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag pictured before the match on October 21, 2023

Erik ten Hag: 'Fulham win shows we are fighting for each other'

Manchester United boss Erik ten Hag says that the 1-0 win over Fulham demonstrated the 'spirit and fight' in the group.

Nov 5, 09:19

Manchester United's Harry Maguire celebrates scoring their first goal on October 24, 2023

Erik ten Hag hails Harry Maguire for "massive" performance

Manchester United head coach Erik ten Hag praises Harry Maguire for his performance in Saturday's 1-0 win over Fulham.

Nov 5, 17:26

Manchester United head coach Erik ten Hag on November 1, 2023

Erik ten Hag equals 118-year-old record with win over Fulham

Manchester United head coach Erik ten Hag equals a 118-year-old record in his side's win over Fulham on Saturday, reaching 50 victories for the Red Devils in 79 matches.

Nov 6, 21:06

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Ipswich 1-3 Fulham
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Newcastle
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.15pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Manchester United
36.76% ( -0.14)	23.95% ( 0.04)	39.29% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 61.61% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.33% (

-0.2)

40.67% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.94% (

-0.2)

63.05% (

0.2)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.87% (

-0.16)

22.13% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.49% (

-0.24)

55.51% (

0.24)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.11% (

-0.04)

20.88% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.41% (

-0.06)

53.59% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Fulham 36.76%

Manchester United 39.29%

Draw 23.95%

Fulham	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.76%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.95%	1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 39.29%