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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The City Ground
Aston Villa logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Milenkovic (87'), Elanga (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duran (63')
Duran (70')

The Match

Match Report

Anthony Elanga comes off the bench to score a last-gasp winner as Nottingham Forest produce a late fightback to defeat Aston Villa 2-1 at the City Ground.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Nottingham Forest could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 2-3 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-3 Aston Villa
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
38.94% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 25.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.23% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (0.030000000000001 0.03)49.49% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (0.029 0.03)71.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)24.96% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)59.61% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.037999999999997 0.04)27.06% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.050000000000004 0.05)62.43% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 38.94%
    Aston Villa 35.23%
    Draw 25.82%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.23%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest
40.1%
Draw
30.0%
Aston Villa
30.0%
287
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Aston Villa
4-2
Nott'm Forest
Watkins (4'), Luiz (29', 39'), Bailey (61')
Moreno (57')
Niakhate (45+5'), Gibbs-White (48')
Murillo (15'), Felipe (45')
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nott'm Forest
2-0
Aston Villa
Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')

Kamara (64')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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