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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The City Ground
Aston Villa logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Milenkovic (87'), Elanga (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duran (63')
Duran (70')

The Match

Match Report

Anthony Elanga comes off the bench to score a last-gasp winner as Nottingham Forest produce a late fightback to defeat Aston Villa 2-1 at the City Ground.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Nottingham Forest could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 2-3 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-3 Aston Villa
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
38.94% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 25.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.23% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (0.030000000000001 0.03)49.49% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (0.029 0.03)71.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)24.96% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)59.61% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.037999999999997 0.04)27.06% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.050000000000004 0.05)62.43% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 38.94%
    Aston Villa 35.23%
    Draw 25.82%
Nottingham ForestDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.23%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest
40.1%
Draw
30.0%
Aston Villa
30.0%
287
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Aston Villa
4-2
Nott'm Forest
Watkins (4'), Luiz (29', 39'), Bailey (61')
Moreno (57')
Niakhate (45+5'), Gibbs-White (48')
Murillo (15'), Felipe (45')
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nott'm Forest
2-0
Aston Villa
Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')

Kamara (64')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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