Arsenal

3 - 1

Aston Villa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.