Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Fulham |
34.72% (![]() | 26.16% (![]() | 39.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.98% (![]() | 51.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.12% (![]() | 72.88% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% (![]() | 28.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% (![]() | 63.77% (![]() |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% (![]() | 25.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% (![]() | 60.44% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Fulham |
1-0 @ 9.12% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.8% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 70 |
2 | Arsenal | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 55 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 51 |
4 | Chelsea | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 47 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 46 |
8 | Aston Villa | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 45 |
9 | Bournemouth | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 44 |
10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 42 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Brentford | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 38 |
13 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 34 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 34 |
15 | Everton | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 33 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 33 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 23 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 28 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 17 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 25 | 62 | -37 | 17 |
20 | Southampton | 28 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 68 | -48 | 9 |
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