Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Gil Vicente |
33.78% | 29.11% | 37.11% |
Both teams to score 44.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.72% | 62.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.06% | 81.94% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.58% | 34.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.87% | 71.13% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.79% | 32.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.3% | 68.7% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 11.82% 2-1 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.1% | 0-1 @ 12.55% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 7.11% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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