Belenenses

2 - 1

Gil Vicente

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.