Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.27%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (12.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.