Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Belenenses |
61.78% | 22.79% | 15.43% |
Both teams to score 43.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.35% | 53.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.85% | 75.14% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% | 16.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.98% | 47.02% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.91% | 47.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.45% | 82.55% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Belenenses |
1-0 @ 14.16% 2-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 5.6% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.11% 5-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.78% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 6.01% 1-2 @ 4.02% 0-2 @ 2.26% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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