Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vizela in this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Portimonense |
43.82% ( -0.41) | 27.82% ( 0.09) | 28.36% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 46.21% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.75% ( -0.19) | 59.25% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.34% ( -0.15) | 79.66% ( 0.14) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.13% ( -0.3) | 26.86% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.82% ( -0.4) | 62.17% ( 0.4) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% ( 0.16) | 36.82% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.39% ( 0.15) | 73.61% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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