MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 21:05:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Gil Vicente logo

Estoril
1 - 3
Gil Vicente

Marques (46')
Vital (25'), Seabra (26'), Marques (57')
Gomes (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pereira (59'), Correia (69'), Alipour (90+6')
Pereira (37'), Toure (51'), Correia (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 2-1 Estoril
Saturday, February 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Vizela
Tuesday, February 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Gil Vicente

With just one point separating Estoril and Gil Vicente at the bottom end of the table, we expect both sides to go all out in search of all three points. The Gilistas' form on the road has been nothing to write home about in the league and we are backing Seabra's men to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawGil Vicente
45.57% (0.613 0.61) 24.54% (0.139 0.14) 29.89% (-0.748 -0.75)
Both teams to score 57.16% (-0.905 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.51% (-0.998 -1)45.49% (1.002 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18% (-0.957 -0.96)67.82% (0.962 0.96)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.142 -0.14)20.06% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.71% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)52.29% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-1 -1)28.5% (1.004 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (-1.274 -1.27)64.27% (1.279 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 45.58%
    Gil Vicente 29.89%
    Draw 24.53%
Estoril PraiaDrawGil Vicente
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.348 0.35)
2-0 @ 7.38% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 45.58%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.241 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.89%

How you voted: Estoril vs Gil Vicente

Estoril Praia
52.6%
Draw
26.3%
Gil Vicente
21.1%
38
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Gil Vicente
5-3
Estoril
Tiba (9'), Dominguez (39'), Costa (45+2' pen.), Correia (54'), Depu (56')
Dominguez (57'), Correia (65'), Gbane (69')
Cassiano (51' pen., 84'), Marques (61')
Alvaro (13'), Cassiano (15')
Mar 31, 2023 8.15pm
Oct 7, 2022 8.15pm
Mar 4, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 25
Gil Vicente
0-0
Estoril
Aburjania (20'), Pedrinho (54')
Silva (88')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Estoril
2-2
Gil Vicente
Fonte (11'), Franco (45+2' pen.)
Rosier (29'), Chiquinho (38')
Lino (42'), Navarro (50')
Carlos (44'), Costa (65'), Leautey (75'), Pedrinho (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto76011631318
3Benfica75111751216
4Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
5FamalicaoFamalicao733183512
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
7Braga632184411
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
11AVS6213610-47
12Gil Vicente7142712-57
13Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
14AroucaArouca7205312-96
15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
16Estrela Amadora7124510-55
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110


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