Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
45.57% ( 0.61) | 24.54% ( 0.14) | 29.89% ( -0.75) |
Both teams to score 57.16% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.51% ( -1) | 45.49% ( 1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.18% ( -0.96) | 67.82% ( 0.96) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.94% ( -0.14) | 20.06% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.71% ( -0.23) | 52.29% ( 0.23) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.5% ( -1) | 28.5% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.73% ( -1.27) | 64.27% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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