Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
35.02% (![]() | 27.29% (![]() | 37.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.44% (![]() | 55.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.27% (![]() | 76.73% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.86% (![]() | 30.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.71% (![]() | 66.29% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% (![]() | 28.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.71% (![]() | 64.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 10.3% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.75% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 12.93% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.59% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.87% ( ![]() Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.78% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.12% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |