Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto2 - 0Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 0-4 Porto
Tuesday, January 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Tuesday, January 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Braga
Wednesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Porto 3-1 Braga
Still licking their wounds from the cup exit, Braga will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result. However, Porto have been near impenetrable at home in recent weeks and we fancy them to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 20.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
58.52% ( -0.02) | 20.61% ( 0.01) | 20.86% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.32% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
