Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.17%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (12.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
34.61% (![]() | 29.23% (![]() | 36.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.39% (![]() | 62.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.82% (![]() | 82.18% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.98% (![]() | 34.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.3% (![]() | 70.7% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.02% (![]() | 32.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.43% (![]() | 69.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 12.09% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.24% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.6% | 1-1 @ 13.41% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 4.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.22% | 0-1 @ 12.44% 1-2 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |