Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto5 - 0Benfica
The Match
Match Report
Galeno scores twice as Porto hammer bitter rivals Benfica 5-0 at the Estadio do Dragao, recording their joint-biggest ever victory in O Classico.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Porto
Thursday, February 29 at 4pm in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, February 29 at 4pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica
Thursday, February 29 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, February 29 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Benfica |
44.46% ( -0.81) | 24.46% ( 0.69) | 31.07% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( -2.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
