Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
17.6% (![]() | 22.86% (![]() | 59.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.01% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.45% (![]() | 50.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.53% (![]() | 72.47% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.58% (![]() | 42.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.2% (![]() | 78.8% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.37% (![]() | 16.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.54% (![]() | 46.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.05% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 17.6% | 1-1 @ 10.85% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 12.65% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.35% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.88% Total : 59.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |