Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica4 - 0Portimonense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Benfica
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
24
We said: Benfica 3-0 Portimonense
Benfica and Portimonense have had a contrasting campaign, with the Alvinegros scrambling for points at the bottom end of the table. Both form and history are on Benfica's side this weekend and we are backing them to claim all three points unscathed. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 83.65%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 5.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 4-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-2 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Portimonense |
83.65% ( -0.1) | 10.89% ( 0.12) | 5.45% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
