Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Portimonense |
51.3% ( -0.01) | 23.24% ( -0) | 25.46% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.01% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.24% ( 0.02) | 42.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.84% ( 0.02) | 65.16% ( -0.02) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.25% ( 0) | 16.74% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.33% ( 0.01) | 46.66% ( -0.01) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.67% ( 0.02) | 30.32% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.49% ( 0.02) | 66.51% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Portimonense |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.3% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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