Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 15, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
1 - 0
Portimonense

Cassiano (53')
Basso (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carlinhos (4'), Ventura (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Estoril
Sunday, March 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 0-3 Porto
Friday, March 8 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Portimonense

Both teams head into a true six-pointer without any momentum or confidence, and given the high stakes we anticipate a cagey encounter which may end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Portimonense
51.3% ( -0.01)	23.24% ( -0)	25.46% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 58.01% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.24% (

0.02)

42.76% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.84% (

0.02)

65.16% (

-0.02)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.25% (

16.74% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.33% (

0.01)

46.66% (

-0.01)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.67% (

0.02)

30.32% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.49% (

0.02)

66.51% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 51.3%

Portimonense 25.46%

Draw 23.24%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Portimonense
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.3%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.24%	1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.46%