Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
53.47% (![]() | 25.88% (![]() | 20.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.09% (![]() | 57.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.38% (![]() | 78.62% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.24% (![]() | 21.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.06% (![]() | 54.95% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.78% (![]() | 43.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.53% (![]() | 79.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 14.34% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.93% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.93% Total : 53.46% | 1-1 @ 12.03% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.4% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.85% ( ![]() Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 7.89% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1% Total : 20.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |