Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 5, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon5 - 1Estoril
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, December 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 4-0 Farense
Saturday, December 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, December 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
29
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Estoril Praia
Sporting have been flawless at Estadio Jose Alvalade in the league this season, winning all eight matches and scoring two or more goals in seven of those games. While Estoril have shown improvement in attack lately, we feel the hosts will outscore them in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 81.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.48%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
81.42% ( 0.34) | 12.35% ( -0.29) | 6.23% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.34% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
