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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 5, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Estoril

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 1
Estoril

Edwards (21', 45+2'), Alvaro (51' og.), Goncalves (69'), Trincao (78')
Adan (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cassiano (82')
Alvaro (39'), Tavares (83'), Mangala (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 4-0 Farense
Saturday, December 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Estoril Praia

 Sporting have been flawless at Estadio Jose Alvalade in the league this season, winning all eight matches and scoring two or more goals in seven of those games. While Estoril have shown improvement in attack lately, we feel the hosts will outscore them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 81.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.48%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawEstoril Praia
81.42% (0.33900000000001 0.34) 12.35% (-0.286 -0.29) 6.23% (-0.06 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.34% (0.878 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.93% (1.27 1.27)33.06% (-1.277 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.2% (1.446 1.45)54.79% (-1.453 -1.45)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.84% (0.32000000000001 0.32)6.16% (-0.3269 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.68% (0.896 0.9)23.31% (-0.903 -0.9)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.32% (0.77 0.77)51.68% (-0.778 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.2% (0.504 0.5)85.79% (-0.511 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 81.41%
    Estoril Praia 6.23%
    Draw 12.35%
Sporting LisbonDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.36% (-0.36 -0.36)
3-0 @ 11.48% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.435 -0.44)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 8.01% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.58% (0.093 0.09)
4-1 @ 5.29% (0.162 0.16)
5-0 @ 4.46% (0.119 0.12)
5-1 @ 2.95% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.087 0.09)
6-0 @ 2.07% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.091 0.09)
6-1 @ 1.37% (0.09 0.09)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 81.41%
1-1 @ 5.85% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 2.69% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 12.35%
0-1 @ 2.1% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 6.23%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril

Sporting Lisbon
83.9%
Draw
9.2%
Estoril Praia
6.9%
87
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 22
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Estoril
Bellerin (40'), Trincao (51')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 5
Estoril
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Ndiaye (68'), Vital (73'), Alvaro (81'), Gouveia (84'), Lea Siliki (90+3')
St Juste (13'), Edwards (21')
Edwards (57'), Adan (66'), Rochinha (78'), Coates (83'), Porro (86'), Ugarte (88'), Fatawu (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 23
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Estoril
Goncalves (40'), Reis (76'), Sarabia (81')
Sarabia (50'), Porro (50'), Reis (82')

Ferraresi (45+2'), Joaozinho (54'), Acevedo (86')
Silva (64')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Estoril
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Figueira (65'), Geraldes (90+4'), Rosier (90+4')
Porro (67' pen.)
Santos (84'), Paulinho (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2018 6pm
Estoril
2-0
Sporting Lisbon
Kyriakou (27'), Ewandro (31')
Ewandro (72')

Coentrao (59'), Carvalho (72'), Acuna (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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