Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estoril1 - 3Moreirense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 0-4 Porto
Tuesday, January 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Tuesday, January 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Moreirense 1-4 Casa Pia
Monday, January 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, January 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Moreirense
After a very good first half of the season, it will be interesting to see if Moreirense are able to keep up their excellent form moving forward, and they face a stern test here against an Estoril side that are improving week on week. The Canaries have won each of their last four home league games 4-0, and while we do not expect an equally big margin of victory here, we do feel they will be able to grind out another three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Moreirense |
29.5% ( -0.24) | 26.31% ( -0.07) | 44.19% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.21% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
