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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Moreirense

Estoril
1 - 3
Moreirense

Carlos (90')
Gomes (25'), Fernandes (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aparicio (30'), Marcelo (33'), Alan (74')
Ramos (39'), Alan (45+2'), Antonisse (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-4 Porto
Tuesday, January 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Moreirense

All competitions
Last Game: Moreirense 1-4 Casa Pia
Monday, January 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Moreirense

 After a very good first half of the season, it will be interesting to see if Moreirense are able to keep up their excellent form moving forward, and they face a stern test here against an Estoril side that are improving week on week. The Canaries have won each of their last four home league games 4-0, and while we do not expect an equally big margin of victory here, we do feel they will be able to grind out another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawMoreirense
29.5% (-0.236 -0.24) 26.31% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 44.19% (0.293 0.29)
Both teams to score 51.21% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.145 0.14)53.14% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (0.123 0.12)74.71% (-0.13 -0.13)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)32.68% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (-0.108 -0.11)69.23% (0.10000000000001 0.1)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.205 0.2)23.92% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.297 0.3)58.13% (-0.303 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 29.5%
    Moreirense 44.19%
    Draw 26.3%
Estoril PraiaDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.5%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 11.18%
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 8% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.81% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 44.19%

How you voted: Estoril vs Moreirense

Estoril Praia
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Moreirense
0.0%
9
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Estoril
1-0
Moreirense
Franco (64')
Mboula (44'), Vital (81'), Vega (90+3'), Fonte (90+4'), Joaozinho (90+5')
Vital (84')

Mane (53'), Amador (74'), Luis (81')
> Preview
Dec 28, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 16
Moreirense
1-0
Estoril
Martins (28')
Soares (47'), Yan (84')

Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (21'), Patrick (63'), Arthur (78'), Geraldes (87')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2018 8pm
Moreirense
1-2
Estoril
Toze (10')
Semedo (60'), Belkaroui (86'), Sagna (89')
Allano (72'), Eduardo (81' pen.)
Ailton (19'), Kyriakou (54')
Sep 10, 2017 8.15pm
Estoril
0-2
Moreirense

Abner (53'), Allano (83')
Abarhoun (34'), Zizo (75')
Costa (26'), Santos (63'), Pena (79')
Feb 18, 2017 4pm
Moreirense
1-1
Estoril
Sougou (53')
Almeida (28'), Caue (57'), Alex (63'), Rebocho (66')
Rebocho (85' og.)
Taira (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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