Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Portimonense |
43.96% ( -0.1) | 25.42% ( 0.03) | 30.62% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.99% ( -0.09) | 49.01% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.91% ( -0.08) | 71.09% ( 0.09) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( -0.08) | 22.25% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.31% ( -0.13) | 55.69% ( 0.13) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% | 29.77% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% ( -0) | 65.85% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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