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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Portimonense

Estoril
0 - 1
Portimonense

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cariello (79')
Mauricio (24'), Junior (47'), Ventura (67'), Costa (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 4-1 Estoril
Saturday, April 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-0 Portimonense

Both teams have struggled for goals this season, so a low-scoring affair is on the cards here. Having said that, we just about fancy the hosts to secure all three points come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPortimonense
43.96% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 25.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 30.62% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.99% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)49.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.91% (-0.084 -0.08)71.09% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)22.25% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (-0.129 -0.13)55.69% (0.129 0.13)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23%29.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.85% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 43.96%
    Portimonense 30.62%
    Draw 25.42%
Estoril PraiaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: Estoril vs Portimonense

Estoril Praia
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
Portimonense
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 3.30pm
Portimonense
1-1
Estoril
Junior (88' pen.)
Jocu (24')
Erison (22')
Mar 12, 2022 3.30pm
Estoril
2-0
Portimonense
Mboula (29'), Geraldes (46')
Ferraresi (57'), Franco (84'), Rosier (90+3')

Da Costa (36'), Sa (55'), Junior (90')
Oct 24, 2021 8.30pm
Portimonense
0-2
Estoril

Junior (62')
Franco (59'), Lourenco (72')
Soria (68'), Gamboa (84'), Lourenco (85')
Apr 14, 2018 4pm
Portimonense
0-1
Estoril

Sa (84')
Halliche (42')
Ribeiro (77'), Dankler (95'), Fonseca (97')
Andrade (77')
Dec 4, 2017 8pm
Estoril
0-0
Portimonense

Joel (80')

Hackman (31'), Possignolo (34'), Tabata (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara96031310318
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15AroucaArouca10217619-137
16Estrela Amadora10136820-126
17Nacional8125413-95
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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