Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 15, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 1
Portimonense

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cariello (79')
Mauricio (24'), Junior (47'), Ventura (67'), Costa (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 4-1 Estoril
Saturday, April 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Estoril Praia 1-0 Portimonense

Both teams have struggled for goals this season, so a low-scoring affair is on the cards here. Having said that, we just about fancy the hosts to secure all three points come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Portimonense
43.96% ( -0.1)	25.42% ( 0.03)	30.62% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 54.6% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.99% (

-0.09)

49.01% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.91% (

-0.08)

71.09% (

0.09)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

-0.08)

22.25% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.31% (

-0.13)

55.69% (

0.13)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23%

29.77% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15% (

-0)

65.85% (

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 43.96%

Portimonense 30.62%

Draw 25.42%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.96%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.62%