Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
30.82% (![]() | 25.73% (![]() | 43.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.79% (![]() | 50.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.83% (![]() | 72.17% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% (![]() | 30.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.6% (![]() | 66.4% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% (![]() | 23.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.19% (![]() | 56.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 8.32% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.31% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 12.22% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 10.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.98% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |