Taca da Liga | Second Round
Jul 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Farense3 - 2UD Oliveirense
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Second Round clash between SC Farense and UD Oliveirense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Farense (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 23 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Sunday, July 23 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: UD Oliveirense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, July 22 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, July 22 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | UD Oliveirense |
46.49% ( 1.35) | 24.2% ( -0.37) | 29.31% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
