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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estoril

Moreirense
2 - 1
Estoril

Mingotti (5'), Franco (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carlos (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Moreirense
Sunday, May 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, May 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Moreirense 2-0 Estoril Praia

Moreirense have enjoyed an impressive return to the top flight and will be looking to close out the campaign on a high. Borges's men are currently firing on all cylinders having hit their stride once again and we see them coming away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
MoreirenseDrawEstoril Praia
38.61% (-1.357 -1.36) 25.37% (-0.376 -0.38) 36.02% (1.736 1.74)
Both teams to score 56.4% (1.564 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.61% (1.898 1.9)47.39% (-1.897 -1.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (1.736 1.74)69.6% (-1.734 -1.73)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.143 0.14)24.19% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (0.204 0.2)58.52% (-0.202 -0.2)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (1.925 1.93)25.61% (-1.924 -1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (2.552 2.55)60.49% (-2.551 -2.55)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 38.61%
    Estoril Praia 36.02%
    Draw 25.36%
MoreirenseDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.676 -0.68)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.452 -0.45)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.61%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.505 -0.51)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.223 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.281 0.28)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.175 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.318 0.32)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.236 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.214 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 36.02%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Estoril

Moreirense
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 17
Estoril
1-3
Moreirense
Carlos (90')
Gomes (25'), Fernandes (83')
Aparicio (30'), Marcelo (33'), Alan (74')
Ramos (39'), Alan (45+2'), Antonisse (73')
May 7, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Estoril
1-0
Moreirense
Franco (64')
Mboula (44'), Vital (81'), Vega (90+3'), Fonte (90+4'), Joaozinho (90+5')
Vital (84')

Mane (53'), Amador (74'), Luis (81')
Dec 28, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 16
Moreirense
1-0
Estoril
Martins (28')
Soares (47'), Yan (84')

Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (21'), Patrick (63'), Arthur (78'), Geraldes (87')
Feb 12, 2018 8pm
Moreirense
1-2
Estoril
Toze (10')
Semedo (60'), Belkaroui (86'), Sagna (89')
Allano (72'), Eduardo (81' pen.)
Ailton (19'), Kyriakou (54')
Sep 10, 2017 8.15pm
Estoril
0-2
Moreirense

Abner (53'), Allano (83')
Abarhoun (34'), Zizo (75')
Costa (26'), Santos (63'), Pena (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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