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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Estoril

Farense
3 - 2
Estoril

Silva (36'), Oliveira (45'), Duarte (65')
Falcao (43'), Isidoro (82'), Rossi (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Garcia (45+2'), Gomes (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Farense
Monday, April 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, April 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 2-1 Estoril Praia

Having both won their last outings, Farense and Estoril will head into the weekend with confidence as they look for a strong end to the season. However, the Canarinhos' form on the road is currently nothing to write home about and we see them struggling in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawEstoril Praia
33.99% (0.192 0.19) 24.41% (0.113 0.11) 41.59% (-0.298 -0.3)
Both teams to score 59.39% (-0.341 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.66% (-0.466 -0.47)43.34% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26% (-0.461 -0.46)65.74% (0.467 0.47)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)24.87% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-0.154 -0.15)59.48% (0.159 0.16)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)20.95% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (-0.526 -0.53)53.69% (0.533 0.53)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 33.99%
    Estoril Praia 41.59%
    Draw 24.41%
SC FarenseDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.126 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.04% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.99%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.62% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.59%

How you voted: Farense vs Estoril

SC Farense
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Estoril
4-0
Farense
Marques (4', 47'), Araujo (45+5'), Parra (78')
Carne (22'), Holsgrove (30')

Falcao (24'), Pastor (54')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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