Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
33.99% ( 0.19) | 24.41% ( 0.11) | 41.59% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 59.39% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.66% ( -0.47) | 43.34% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.26% ( -0.46) | 65.74% ( 0.47) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.13% ( -0.11) | 24.87% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.52% ( -0.15) | 59.48% ( 0.16) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% ( -0.33) | 20.95% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% ( -0.53) | 53.69% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.99% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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