Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 27, 2022 at 5pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense4 - 2Estrela Amadora
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Moreirense and Estrela Amadora.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penafiel 1-2 Moreirense
Thursday, November 17 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Thursday, November 17 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-3 Benfica
Sunday, November 20 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Sunday, November 20 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 65.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
65.73% ( 0.27) | 20.38% ( -0.16) | 13.9% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 47.41% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
