Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Portimonense1 - 0Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Portimonense
Saturday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, April 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Portimonense 1-0 Gil Vicente
With just one point separating Portimonense and Gil Vicente in the league table, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio Municipal de Portimao as they both push for a top-half finish. We are backing the hosts to carry on their momentum from last week's solid performance against Estoril and claim all three points on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
42.69% ( 0.28) | 25.41% ( -0.07) | 31.91% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( 0.26) | 48.44% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( 0.23) | 70.57% ( -0.23) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( 0.25) | 22.61% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.78% ( 0.36) | 56.22% ( -0.36) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( -0.01) | 28.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.58% ( -0.01) | 64.43% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Portimonense 42.69%
Gil Vicente 31.91%
Draw 25.4%
| Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.69% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.91% |
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2022 8.45pm
Nov 4, 2022 8.15pm
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
