Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.42%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 4.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 4-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.81%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Portimonense |
85.42% (![]() | 10.12% (![]() | 4.46% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.9% (![]() | 30.1% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.69% (![]() | 51.31% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.13% (![]() | 4.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.41% (![]() | 19.59% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.44% (![]() | 55.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.79% (![]() | 88.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Portimonense |
3-0 @ 12.44% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 9.4% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 7.32% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.37% Total : 85.41% | 1-1 @ 4.81% (![]() 0-0 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.47% Total : 10.12% | 0-1 @ 1.59% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 1.46% Total : 4.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 50 |
2 | Benfica | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 44 |
3 | Porto | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 44 | 17 | 27 | 42 |
4 | Braga | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 40 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 35 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 24 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |