UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 6pm UK

Brann Stadion

Brann
3 - 1
Arouca

(SK Brann win 4-3 on aggregate)

Myhre (6'), Pallesen Knudsen (42'), Finne (45')
Baardsen Pedersen (38'), Crone (50'), Pallesen Knudsen (64')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Sylla (57')
Galovic (27'), Simao (57'), Santos (90+3'), De Arruabarrena (90+3')
Galovic (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between SK Brann and Arouca.

Form, Standings, Stats

SK Brann

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Brann
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Arouca 4-3 Estoril
Sunday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.

Result
SK Brann	Draw	Arouca
64.08% ( -0.42)	19.17% ( 0.04)	16.75% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 58.64% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.37% (

0.52)

35.63% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.31% (

0.58)

57.68% (

-0.58)

SK Brann Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.46% (

0.04)

10.54% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.74% (

0.1)

34.25% (

-0.11)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.55% (

0.76)

34.45% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.83% (

0.8)

71.16% (

-0.8)

Score Analysis

SK Brann 64.08%

Arouca 16.75%

Draw 19.17%

SK Brann	Draw	Arouca
2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.96% Total : 64.08%	1-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.17%	1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 16.75%