Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril0 - 2Chaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 3-2 Estoril
Friday, March 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, March 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Chaves 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Chaves
Buoyed by their victory over Portimonense, Chaves will head into the weekend with their morale high as they look to move into the top half of the table. However, Estoril Praia cannot be ruled out, given their home advantage. While both sides are evenly-matched and capable of picking up the win, we predict that the game will end in a stalemate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Chaves |
35.56% ( -0.79) | 27.39% ( -0.19) | 37.05% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
