Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.