Taca da Liga | Final
Jan 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Benfica1 - 2Sporting Lisbon
We said: Benfica 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday's game sees two of the "Big Three" in Portugal square off for cup glory and we can expect an entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action. However, we are backing Sporting Lisbon to come away with a narrow win and extend their dominance domestically. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
45.14% | 24.27% | 30.58% |
Both teams to score 58.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.07% | 43.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.69% | 66.32% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.39% | 19.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.44% | 51.56% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.75% | 27.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.32% | 62.68% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica 45.15%
Sporting Lisbon 30.58%
Draw 24.27%
Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.08% Total : 45.15% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-1 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.58% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon
Benfica
33.3%Draw
14.8%Sporting Lisbon
51.9%27
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-29 20:58:08
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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