Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes2 - 2Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-1 Gil Vicente
Thursday, February 8 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, February 8 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Benfica
Thursday, February 8 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, February 8 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Benfica
Vitoria de Guimaraes have put together a fine run of results and will head into the weekend with plenty of optimism as they look to end their dire record against Benfica. However, Schmidt's side boast the firepower needed to get this one over the line and we fancy them to claim all three points once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
22.48% ( -0.13) | 23.8% ( 0.04) | 53.71% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
