Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Moreirense win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
19.81% (![]() | 21.83% (![]() | 58.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% (![]() | 42.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.69% (![]() | 65.31% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.53% (![]() | 35.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.77% (![]() | 72.24% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.6% (![]() | 14.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.68% (![]() | 42.32% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 5.32% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.81% | 1-1 @ 10.26% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 9.94% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 58.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |