Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw has a probability of 20.2% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (4.76%).
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Casa Pia |
66.48% ( -0.18) | 20.18% ( 0.08) | 13.34% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 46.54% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.68% ( -0.12) | 47.32% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.46% ( -0.11) | 69.54% ( 0.1) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.66% ( -0.09) | 13.34% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.78% ( -0.18) | 40.21% ( 0.18) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.7% ( 0.08) | 46.3% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.05% ( 0.06) | 81.95% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Casa Pia |
2-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 66.48% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.18% | 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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