Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Rudes had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Rudes win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.