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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
OPEL ARENA

Osijek
1 - 0
Gorica

Caktas (29')
Caktas (42'), Brlek (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osijek 3-2 Adana Demirspor
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 Gorica
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osijek in this match.

Result
OsijekDrawGorica
54.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.26% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 20.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.79% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)73.56% (-0.0089999999999861 -0.01)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)39.5% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8% (0.009999999999998 0.01)76.19% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 54.89%
    Gorica 20.84%
    Draw 24.26%
OsijekDrawGorica
1-0 @ 12.4%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 54.89%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.2%
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.84%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Hajduk Split128312071327
2HNK RijekaRijeka126601941524
3Dinamo Zagreb1272328151323
4Osijek126151815319
5NK VarazdinVarazdin12543107319
6NK Istra 1961Istra 196112336819-1112
7Sibenik12336922-1312
8GoricaGorica123271119-811
9Slaven Koprivnica122371117-69
10NK Lokomotiva122371120-99


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