Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.